City of Pain

Last night’s Indians/Mariners over got in at 8.5, so that ended up a win. Yankees over was a push.

Last Night:+ 5.22 units
YTD: +2.27 units

Today’s Plays

All wagers are to win the units listed

Blue Jays/Red Sox over 9 (2 units)
Yankees/Tigers over 9.5 (2 units)
Braves MONEYLINE (2.5 units)
Blue Jays MONEYLINE (1 unit)
Indians MONEYLINE (2 units)

27 games into the season and we have our first Phillies controversy of the season. Thankfully for us it’s a good one. With Shane Victorino hitting the DL two weeks ago, it forced Charlie Manuel to put Jayson Werth in centerfield. An easy move considering Werth was platooning with Geoff Jenkins in right field before that. During Victorino’s absence, Werth has been hitting .289, with 5 HRs and 13 RBIs in 16 games. Pretty solid. Before going on the DL, Victorino had managed to collect 4 hits in 38 at-bats during the first 12 games, then hit .330 in his final five games.

It’s not fair to bash Shane Victorino because he is gives you a lot of positives. No one expects him to hit the way he was at the beginning of the year (are you listening Ryan Howard you shit head?), and looking at his brief career in the majors, you’d expect him to get back to his .285 average. He’s a switch hitter, he offers you speed and a superior arm in the outfield and on the bases. He can bunt for hits, he can hit for power on occasion (12 HRs last season), and he doesn’t strike out often (13%).

It’s also not fair to leave a player in Jayson Werth on the bench for half of the season when he may be as good, if not better, than Shane Victorino. Werth is different in the sense that you aren’t entirely sure what you’re getting. He broke his wrist in 2005 and never fully recovered from this injury for almost two full years. This may explain why he ate balls at the beginning of 2007 with the Phillies, spawning hundreds of thousands of Philadelphians to call him Jayson Werthless. How original. What most people don’t know is that Jayson Werth was a first round pick at the age of 17 by the Orioles. His senior year in high school he hit .652 with 15 HRs in just 31 games. His mom was an Olympic track athlete and his dad was a star wide receiver for the Illinois State football team. His grandfather and great uncle were also both major league infielders. They even said on the radio that Werth is faster than Shane Victorino when they compete during team sprints.

So what does all of this mean? It means two things: It means Jayson Werth may not have reached his full potential and could be better than any of us believe he is. He could end up being (gulp), a very good player. It also means Charlie Manuel has a fairly difficult decision on his hands. The question is not whether to replace Vicorino with Werth, but whether to make Werth your every day centerfielder and put Victorino back in right field to platoon with Jenkins. Who is worth more to you on an every day basis? Victorino, who will give you .285, 12 HRs, 50 RBIs, 128 hits, 37 walks, and 37 stolen bases, plus a handful of outfield assists….or is Werth more to you knowing he may finally be healthy and ready to live up to his 2008 projection of .289, 36 HRs, 93 RBIs, 157 hits, 71 walks, and 14 stolen bases ( this stolen base projection is far too low)?

I think the answer is blatantly clear Charlie. In fact, it’s so fucking obvious that you’ll certainly make the wrong decision.

This series is totally rigged, yet the Flyers still lead 2-1. The NHL, and specifically Colin Campbell, hates the Flyers. I have no other explanation. How does Montreal get 29 power play minutes to the Flyers 8 last night? How are the Canadians getting away with blatant sucker punching, diving, and cross checks from behind right in front of the officials? Scary. The NHL is doing whatever it takes to make anything Canadian relevant on planet earth. The refs were pulling this shit in the Caps series too.

The Flyers pulled one out of their asses last night, and if they continue to play like a bunch of pussies and get out-shot and out-hustled almost every game, then Montreal is going to come back and win this series. No doubt. The Flyers absolutely need to stay out of the penalty box and they need to continue to hit for SIXTY MINUTES, not forty. They have Montreal right where they want them, on the ropes. Land the knockout punch in Game 4 and these pathetic French fucks go home on their last legs. The Canadians will head across their fraudulent border with the same confidence that a 19 year old girl has during her first morning walk home from a frat sleepover. Confused, hazy, trembling, bleeding……

Last night = – 2.95 units
YTD = -2.95 units
All wagers below are to WIN the amount of units listed.

Tonight’s plays

Yankees over 10 (2 units)
Indians over 9 (2 units)
Indians MONEYLINE (1 unit)
Orioles MONEYLINE (3 units)
Nationals MONEYLINE (1 unit)
Rockies MONEYLINE (2 units)

Today starts a new feature in the brief history of City of Pain. One that should spark your interest, and one that is guarenteed to make you money. No, we aren’t selling 9 year old Philipino boy’s soiled underwear to your local parish. Baseball picks. Every day. Guarenteed money. For free.

The Vegas wise guys don’t make their money in football, and they don’t even make their money in basketball. The good ones, the ‘sharps’ as they say, do it all in baseball. Ahhh yes, America’s past time. Baseball is the easiest sport to make money in. There’s more game performance data than any other sport and that’s the key. Volume of data. Plus any chance we get to see Derek Jeter in those tight pants makes us all winners, right boys? So City of Pain has divised four systems to play throughout the year (which we will keep hidden), and our picks will be posted here daily. So open up that online account, don’t tell your fat wife where that extra $500 you had saved up went, and let’s get started. We will keep track of the winnings in units rather than dollars. The amount of the value of one unit is up to you. It could be $5, $10, $50, or whatver you want it to be. Good luck.

Odds are taken from sportsbetting.com

Today’s picks: Colorado Rockies MONEYLINE even (1 unit)
Yankees/Indians Over 9.5 +105 (2 units)